Category: Europe

President Trump’s Visit to Poland: Cementing the U.S.-Poland Alliance and Endorsing the Three Seas Initiative

Not surprisingly, following President Trump’s visit to Warsaw, the Polish government declared that it is no longer concerned about the U.S. President’s perceived friendliness with Putin’s Russia. Although none of these facts are likely to affect Trump’s detractors and their … Continue reading

Posted in Defense and National Security, Europe, Foreign Policy, Intermarium, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia, Three Seas Iniative, Trump Presidency, Uncategorized Tagged , , , , |

President Trump’s Foreign Policy: The Case of Eastern Europe

“I am here today not just to visit an old ally, but to hold it up as an example for others who seek freedom and who wish to summon the courage and the will to defend our civilization.… Today, the … Continue reading

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Trump Effect in Denmark: Reinvigorating Nationalism and National Defense

Trump could indirectly make “it easier for us to criticize politicians like Merkel in Germany and the EU. Trump will be able to change the ways we think and act, especially if he succeeds with his proposals of vetting immigrants, … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Refugee Policy Tagged , , , |

UK General Election Analysis

While the left hungrily defends anything considered minority, they feel emboldened to attack what have hitherto been majority viewpoints in an increasingly fascistic manner. I don’t know what this new social religion is, nor do I really wish to sign … Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, Foreign Policy, Globalization, News and Analysis, The Radical Left, The Socialist Left Tagged , , , , , , , , |

An Absolute Majority in the Service of the King

Macron had already announced during the campaign that if elected he would govern by decree – meaning to govern without the approval of Parliament – a practice allowed under the French Constitution, but unpopular to public opinion. Given his absolute … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis Tagged , , |

The Trump Effect in Germany: Where Strength and Skepticism Clash

For Robin Classen, the most important idea of Trump’s is “to end illegal immigration in the US and to deport illegal immigrants. If he will succeed with this idea, it will show the European nations that the immigration of the … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, NATO, News and Analysis, Trump Presidency

Does Rise of Macron and Schulz Mean Return of “Third Way” Politics in Europe?

To reach that goal will require some measure of achievement by Macron in the early days of his presidency and for Schulz to emerge as chancellor after a nip-and-tuck race with incumbent Angela Merkel. Then Europe and the world will … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis Tagged , , , |

French Elections: Macron in ’17, Le Pen in ’22?

Should Macron stumble badly in office, then Le Pen in 2022 would be well-positioned at the natural opponent to Macron in her third bid for the presidency. By then, depending on the economic conditions in France and Europe her promises … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis

Eurocrats: Transparency vs. the Monet Method

Isn’t this obvious to everyone, including the Poles? One is afraid, however, that the refusal to recognize the reality of the European Union meted out to Poland its stinging slap on the face. Donald Tusk has been elected because his … Continue reading

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The Peaceful Revolution is Complete

Perhaps the most assertive and British thing about Brexit was not the audacity to turn to a continent and say sorry and farewell, but the manner in which it was done. And that, I would argue, should give 65 million … Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis Tagged , , , , , |

EU Institutions vs. Democracy

The Eurocrats no longer pretend that democratic legitimacy is necessary. It is enough that the club outvotes the people, who remain disenfranchised on the sidelines. In this manner, the Tusk affair sheds perfect light on the inner machinations of the … Continue reading

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Brexit Happened for a Reason: EU Members Like Poland Ought to Reassess

Polish Prime Minister Beata Szydło wrote a curiously desperate letter of last resort to the European Union to prevent the re-election of her Eurocrat predecessor, Donald Tusk. She appealed to democracy and national sovereignty. This must have sounded like a … Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Sovereignty Tagged , , , , , , |

EU in the “Exit” Era: the Greek Case Renewed

The truth for Greece is simply that the status quo – globalization – has failed many and they do not want to be a part of a broken system anymore. They have come to believe that Grexit might be the … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Uncategorized Tagged , , , , , |

Moldova: Between Russia and the West

While Moscow is supporting European nationalism, the United States continues to embrace the process of globalization, multiculturalism and internationalism. A war for the hearts and minds of Europe is already ongoing. The new Trump administration will have to act very … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis Tagged , , , |

Turkey, EU Partner or Temporary Collaborator?

All things considered, Turkey may never become an EU member. At the same time, however, the partnership between the two is no less important. That Turkey should be incompatible with the requirements of the Union does not mean the two … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, Middle East-North Africa, News and Analysis Tagged , , , , , , , |

The Return of Mahan, Mackinder, and Spykman

Russia and Germany are signed on to Beijing’s project. They are both cooperating as well as investing in the “One Belt, One Road” project (OBOR) announced in 2013. Does this portend the awakening of Mackinder’s powerful Heartland thesis? The possible … Continue reading

Posted in China, Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

Is Romania Approaching a Second Revolution?

It is hard to compare the current revolt with the 1989 revolution. In 1989 the West pursued and helped to bring about radical changes in Eastern Europe, probably in anticipation of the globalization process that followed. Now, the West wants … Continue reading

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Reviving the V4 alternative in Central Europe

Many Western Europeans ask: Why antagonize Moscow, thereby sacrificing comfort and relatively cheap natural gas, by defending second-class Europeans? But the answer is that, together, the V4 countries have 64 million inhabitants, which puts them in the same ranks as … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, Intermarium, News and Analysis, Russia, Russia & Eurasia Tagged , , , , , , , , |

Did Nominating Little Ben “Sanders” Mortally Wound the French Socialist Party?

Benoit Hamon, the man opponents deride as “Little Ben,” rolled up 58 per cent of the vote in the PS (Socialist Party) over former Prime Minister Manuel Valls. For now, “Little Ben” has become France’s “Little Bernie Sanders.” What it … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis Tagged , , , |

Seismic Political Shifts in the West

Nigel Farage, the former UKIP leader and the man credited with the success of Brexit stated recently about Merkel and Obama, the symbols of the current EU and U.S. ruling establishments, that they “simply can’t face up to the fact … Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis Tagged , , , , , |

“Austrian Donald Trump” Poised to Win Presidency in Delayed Race

>A just-completed poll by the Oesterreich newspaper among likely voters nationwide showed that if parliamentary elections were called, Hofer’s Freedom Party would emerge triumphant with 35 percent of the vote, followed by the two parties that now govern Austria in a “grand coalition:” the Social Democrats at 26 percent and the People’s (conservative) Party at 19 percent. Continue reading

Posted in Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis

Fixing a U.S. Diplomatic Gaffe: Protests in Romania and the Republic of Moldova

Historically, Moldovans are Romanians and their aspiration is to reunite with Romania. From a Romanian point of view, reunification is natural and imminent, although its timing may require some patience. It is feared, however, if they do not reunite with … Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia Tagged , , , , |

The Mosque in Bucharest: Interfaith Harmony or Political Strategy?

While the Turkish mosque, “mega” or not, coming to Bucharest might not prove to be the beginning of tumultuous relations between Christians and Muslims in the country, questions still remain as to why Romania has not even been offered the reciprocal courtesy of building an Orthodox church in Istanbul, if this is indeed to be viewed as establishing strong interfaith relations between the two countries. There is also the lingering issue of whether or not it would be foolish of Romanian authorities to ignore the possibility of a Muslim Brotherhood Islamization agenda, especially in light of the bloody jihadist attacks taking place throughout the West. Continue reading

Posted in Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, Foreign Policy Issues, Immigration Issues, News and Analysis, Religious Freedom, Russia & Eurasia, United Nations Issues Tagged , , , , , , |

Is Turkey Changing Sides?

Alert and ready to act, Vladimir Putin is courting Erdoğan, while outmaneuvered the Obama administration appears paralized and in denial. The question is: Will the next U.S. administration regain its sense of mission? Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia, Uncategorized Tagged , , , , , , , , |

Even With “Boris and the Brexiters,” May’s Cabinet is Mixed Bag for the Right

“Brexit is Brexit,” declared May in spelling out her position to execute the will of the voters in wanting to leave the European Union. Certainly her tapping of Johnson, Fox, Davis and several others are strong signs she means it and will act accordingly. But whether May goes on to become another Margaret Thatcher is a saga that is yet to be written. Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis Tagged , , , , , , |

Turkey’s Presidential Putsch

One cannot help but think that the countermeasures were prepared well in advance. Either Erdoğan was prepared for the coup with extensive proscription lists or he staged a provocation himself so he could proceed with a presidential putsch. The government countermeasures appear too seamless, too well-thought out, and too professional. One way or another, the Turkish avatar of the Muslim Brotherhood is firmly in power. No wonder that Erdoğan referred to the military coup as “Allah-sent.” Perhaps he even helped Allah himself. Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia Tagged , , , , |

Warsaw NATO Summit: One Step Forward, One Step Back

The true paradox of this summit is that the NATO policy moves a step forward and a step back, at the same time. While being truly insightful about the geopolitical threats outside NATO, the final summit document introduces solutions giving non-NATO institutions access to vulnerable information. Meanwhile, Europe is a continent steeped in history that has its own dynamics. It is good to remember that before any cooperation between NATO and EU institutions is tightened. Continue reading

Posted in Defense and National Security, Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia Tagged , , , , , , |

The NATO Summit and Obama’s Much Ado Over a Polish Court

It is too bad President Obama apparently skipped his constitutional law classes while at Harvard. Firm grounding in the American constitutional tradition would help him understand the complexities of Poland’s struggle against the poisonous legacy of totalitarianism in its court system. Continue reading

Posted in Defense and National Security, Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis Tagged , , , , , |

Brexit: Charlemagne vs. ‘Rule Britannia!’

What Brexit makes clear is that the British want their country back. They believe their beloved and ingrained notion of ‘Britishness’ being threatened in Europe elicited reactions from those who have had enough of the ruling class dictating the terms of success, power, and control. Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Sovereignty Tagged , , , , , , , , , , |

Brexit Calls for U.S. to Reconsider Foreign Policy

With Germany economically dependent on the natural gas provisions from Russia, it is hard to expect any strong German support for NATO activities on the eastern flank. This is proven by the German reaction to the joint NATO war games, Anaconda 16, that are taking place in Eastern Europe. A NATO member, as it is, Germany denied the right of passage to the allied troops on their way to the games referring to them as “saber-rattling and warmongering.” The centers of power in Europe are shifting and Washington needs to choose its allies carefully. When we look at the map of Europe, it is quite clear that the new rampart of NATO is no longer Germany but Poland and the Baltic States. Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia, Sovereignty Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , |

Rule Britannia, and Now What?

Will the spirit of decentralization descend onto central and eastern Europe? That probably won’t happen right away because the denizens of the post-Soviet zone are too scared of the Russians to leave the imaginary security blanket of the EU behind. They keep forgetting that it is not the EU, but NATO that defends them. And there is no NATO without American leadership. Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Sovereignty Tagged , , , , |

America, Globalization and Brexit

The British have just voted to leave the European Union in order to regain their national independence. For England, the vote marks the beginning of a return to common sense. It is a victory of the God-fearing people over the internationalists who advocate a border-less, God-less and very much a meaning-less new world order. We do need an orderly world, but it should be a world of free nations. It is high time for America to regain its sense of nation and sense of mission. Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, European Union, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Sovereignty Tagged , , , , , |

Western Civilization: Crisis of Confidence

We’re caught in an awful contradiction when we welcome into our midst members of a culture that accepts chattel slavery, the brutal subjugation of women, the murder of apostates, honor killings, murdering homosexuals, and killing those who insult their religion. Try to put yourself into the mind of a man who would murder his own daughter for being raped, daring to choose her own husband, or just getting uppity in public. Honor killings have come to Europe with Muslim immigrants, and lately to America. Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, Middle East-North Africa, News and Analysis, Sovereignty, Uncategorized Tagged , , , , , |

A Little Publicized Meeting Took Place in Romania

The atmosphere of the Siania, Romania meeting was festive, and the event was apparently well-orchestrated. However, the main topic of the conference was both anti-West and anti-European Union. In her speech, for example, Marine Le Pen assured Romania that the country would be better off if it left the EU, which she described as ‘a drifting ship without a compass,’ and ‘a total failure.’ Le Pen questioned the EU’s future, calling it ‘a threat to its inhabitants.’ Instead, she proposed a Union ‘from the Atlantic to the Ural Mountains’… a Europe that would also include Russia. Continue reading

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Europe’s Security Crisis: From Tolerance to Extremism

In light of all the chaos, one might say that the metaphoric battle of civilizations has reached European soil. But such a statement would be false. There is no battle, as a battle involves two or more sides actively engaged. The only active side in this story is the radicalized, anything but tolerant, threat of Islamic terror, which is ripping into the heart of Europe and putting people of all nations and religions in danger. The other side is the passive European continent, trying to cope with the philosophy of tolerance and to figure out what it may and may not say and do. Europe sleeps and extremists recruit. No, this is no battle. It is suicide. Continue reading

Posted in BREXIT, Europe, Foreign Policy, Middle East-North Africa, News and Analysis, Political Correctness Tagged , , , , , , |

Trump’s Foreign Policy Speech: Did he Jump into Bed With Putin?

Despite the media buildup for the speech, it’s clear that on the matter of the US-Russian relationship Trump doesn’t represent a real change from the policies of the Obama/Hillary administration. A contest between Hillary and The Donald means the Russians emerge as the winners—no matter who wins. Another Russian reset is in the cards, compounding the American weakness that Trump says he wants to do something about. Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Presidential Campaign, China, Europe, Foreign Policy, Israel, Middle East-North Africa, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia, Southeast Asia, Uncategorized Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

Europe’s New Challenge: Wake Up or Break Apart!

The former West European communists of the fifties and sixties are posing as socialists these days and are largely in charge of the EU. The former communist parties of Eastern Europe changed their names and now pose as socialists. Together they act as comrades in arms and appear prone to build another ‘utopian Marxist society.’ What the Soviet Union did not achieve through sheer brutality is being achieved now with kid gloves by the new authorities in Brussels. As of now no East European country has decided to leave the EU, but the seeds of discontent have been sown. Continue reading

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Reversing the 1683 Siege of Vienna

On September 11 – the anniversary of the worst attack on America – in 1683, when the decisive stage of the battle of Vienna began over three-hundred years ago, the Muslim Ottoman siege was lifted and Islam was turned away from conquering more of Christian Europe. Today, Islam’s Hijrah is on the march and has returned to Europe, indeed, even invited in by German Chancellor Angela Merkel, and seems about to reverse the Ottoman setback at Vienna during the late 17th Century, a third of a millennia ago. But, this time, there may not be a Polish King like Jan III Sobieski to save Germany. Continue reading

Posted in Defense and National Security, Europe, Foreign Policy, Middle East-North Africa, News and Analysis Tagged , , , , , , |

Squeezing the Buffer Zone between NATO and Russia

According to confidential sources leaked to the media, Russia is currently consolidating its military forces in Transdniestria. The Bucharest TV station Realitatea announced that Russia modernized, militarized, and expanded the Tiraspol Airport. Tiraspol is the capital of this republic. The landing strip of the airport was lengthened to 2,500 meters to accommodate big military planes while many new military barracks were built in the area. Continue reading

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Was March 13 The Start of Germany‘s “Trump Phenomenon?”

In many ways, the “AfD phenomenon” is increasingly likened to that of the “Trump Phenomenon” in the United States. Lacking a charismatic leader in the mold of Donald Trump, the AfD has nonetheless electrified voters with its hard-line on immigration and its persona as the movement opposed to the political “establishment.” According to Martin Klingst of Die Zeit, “The United Nations Human Rights Council says that there are already about 200,000 refugees waiting in Libya to cross the Mediterranean to Italy again and that more and more refugees will choose this dangerous route once the Balkan route is closed.” Continue reading

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NATO Centres of Excellence: A Security Threat?

It is essential for the American public to understand that post-Soviet countries still struggle with their past. Their new military or civilian structures may be filled with people whose allegiance is unclear. Those dubious connections may pose a serious security threat to the entire NATO structure. This existential threat needs to be properly understood and taken into account when evaluating the actions of the newly elected Polish government and the radical changes it introduces. Those changes have justification that can be easily investigated. However, they require thorough and fair media reporting, including a better understanding of the reality in post-Soviet countries. Otherwise, we run the risk of NATO infiltration by foreign intelligence services. Continue reading

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“Brexit,” the British Exit from the EU, Campaign Heats Up

It is clear, though, that both sides have numerous supporters and the campaign will be vigorous. The voting to remain in the EU will be a vote against the risks to economic prosperity. Those voting for Brexit will be supporting Britain’s independence from Europe, primarily rejecting the tight control from Brussels. By virtue of the Brexit referendum, the nature of the European project will have been irrevocably altered, with “no return to the status quo ante.” Whatever the result on June 23, Brexit is going to be a campaign to remember. Continue reading

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The Cologne Attacks: A Look at Europe’s Future

This reality has become more dangerous for both refugees and EU citizens. Neither party has any security or cultural stability anymore. And, when equilibrium is challenged, a struggle for survival ensues. It might already be too late, yet even so, measures need to be taken to prevent a clash of civilizations. With the current state of affairs, such a conflict can have no winners. And, if the situation stays as it is, Western European culture, as we know it, will have no future. Continue reading

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The Distance between East and West

The core of the problem is that some of the minorities hold the belief that Western women are sexually loose and are easy to seduce. This way of thinking was expressed by a former Muslim Mufti of Australia, Sheik Tag El Din Al Helaly. Al Helaly once said that women who don’t wear the head scarf, hijab, become like uncovered meat and bring upon themselves the consequences of being attacked. Continue reading

Posted in Defense and National Security, Europe, Foreign Policy, Immigration & Border Security, Middle East-North Africa, News and Analysis Tagged , , , , , , |

Is Turkey a Reliable NATO Ally?

Entrusted with NATO secrets and called upon to help, if the situation should warrant, Turkey’s current trajectory might, in fact, transform its trusted ally status into something completely different, something which might necessitate a rethinking of NATO’s strategy altogether, something which, in the end, might not even be called an ally. Continue reading

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Extinguishing Christianity from the Middle East

It is clear that the European refugee crisis is bringing to the surface inherent problems such as the difficulty of tracking migration and dealing with transnational crimes across open borders. It also raises the issue of the limitation of state sovereignty and the centralization of power. Arguably, the EU is unable to meet the needs of its culturally, politically and economically diverse nations. Such issues might prove a risk to EU unity. Post-Paris, it is obvious now the Middle East’s strife is no longer its own. Continue reading

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The Death of Europe: Is Paris the New Normal?

The European values that require Europe to commit suicide are about ideology, not language, culture or nationhood. But the incoming migrants don’t share that ideology. They have their own Islamic values. The Muslim migrants who are meant to be the retirement plan for an aging Europe are supposed to keep its ramshackle collection of economic policies, its welfare states and social programs rolling along. But they’re more like a final solution. Continue reading

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Merkel’s Muslim Invasion

The Turkish solution still requires Europe to take in another 500,000 Muslims from Turkey in exchange for its tyrannical Islamist ruler agreeing to secure its borders. This means outsourcing European border security to a hostile Muslim country whose ruler dreams of reviving the Ottoman Empire and boasted, “The mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.” That’s the sort of man that Europe will be turning over its security to. Meanwhile those 500,000 Muslims will also have to be “shared” all across Europe. Continue reading

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Ushering in Poland’s Reagan Democrats

The leaders and followers of the populist conservative Law and Justice Party (PiS) consider a symbolic litmus test of international relations the previous center-left government’s egregious manhandling of the Smolensk Polish presidential plane crash in April 2010. They reject the echo-chamber consent of Warsaw’s incumbent liberal regime for Moscow’s ukaze that no foul play was involved in the plane disaster that killed Poland’s president, Lech Kaczyński. They would like an international investigation. This seems to be non-negotiable because the deceased president’s twin brother Jarosław Kaczyński is the head of PiS. Continue reading

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Exodus: The ‘March for Berlin’ and the Future of Democracy in Europe

There is legitimate concern over the possibility of sowing the seeds for a majority Muslim Europe. The fact that the continent has been and is still predominantly Christian, is not what ultimately draws apprehension. The truth is that, even if the majority Muslim Europe prediction does not become a reality by 2050, as some have estimated it will, if migration keeps going at this rate, it will eventually become a fact, perhaps during the lifetime of the millennial generation’s children. Continue reading

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The Rising Tide of Third World Refugees and the Plight of NATO’s Southeastern Flank

The Hungarians and others argue that for economic and cultural reasons they simply cannot accommodate the new comers. The Magyars refuse to succumb to the social engineering schemes of Brussels and prefer their country just the way it is. We should watch the European debate very carefully because it also concerns our own problems on America’s southern border. It is not Nazism to wish to protect the nation’s frontier and to uphold its cultural essence. Patriots defend their countries from all enemies: foreign and domestic. Continue reading

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Mega Mosque Project in Romania Sparks Controversy

The question of Islamic radicalism has become one often present in the minds of those who hear of similar ventures. Great care should be taken to ensure that implementing these endeavors for the sake of diversity, tolerance, or even out of ethnic and religious necessity does not suddenly transform into an excuse for preaching hate or radicalization. Many countries in Europe are now dealing with the threat of radical Islam and are consequently modifying their once extremely tolerant attitude. Continue reading

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Greek Crisis, Russian Opportunity

Meanwhile, Putin has been rubbing his hands in glee at Europe’s misfortune. The Greek crisis offers a golden opportunity to subvert the West from within. It is also a welcome distraction diverting European (and even American) attention away from Moscow’s aggression against Ukraine and Putin’s plans to rebuild the Soviet empire. Continue reading

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One of Last Living Holocaust Survivors Offers Enduring Advice

Martin Greenfield is a world-renowned White House and celebrity tailor. He has made suits for everyone from presidents Eisenhower to Obama, LeBron James to Paul Newman, and Frank Sinatra to the cast of The Great Gatsby. Continue reading

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P5+1 Iran Deal Reduces American Influence

The United States and Iran are not morally equivalent; we do not share the same creed, vision for the world, or idea of liberty and justice. The U.S. initiates violence only to defend the lives of its citizens or liberate people from tyranny. Tehran’s theocracy initiates violence to further expand its reach with an end goal of establishing a global caliphate under the banner of radical Shia Islam. The U.S. is a liberating force, while the Islamic Republic of Iran is a conquering one. Continue reading

Posted in Defense and National Security, Europe, Foreign Policy, Israel, Middle East-North Africa, Middle East-North Africa, News and Analysis, Russia, United Nations Tagged , , , , , , , , , |

Waiting for Russia’s Next Move in Southeast Europe

Today’s Russia is still looking over its western borders and is luring some European countries. Greece, for example, is strongly dissatisfied with the European Union and went to Moscow for assistance. Serbia has just been visited by Russia’s foreign minister and is inclined toward Russia. Macedonia is following suit. Hungary is upset with the EU policies and is now befriending Moscow. Slovakia is tilting toward Russia, while the Czech Republic is caught between East and West. Only Poland, Romania, and the Baltic states are standing fast by NATO and America. Continue reading

Posted in Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia, Ukraine and Crimea Tagged , , , , , , , |

Torries and Scottish Nationalists Rout Opponents in UK General Election

Though Labour and the LibDems have often worked well with the SNP inside Scottish politics, when it came to deciding the fate of the Union, Labour and the LibDems joined the right-wing in advocating for preservation of the Union, which may have cost them dearly. Now that the union is preserved, they have been effectively “punished” for their position on Scottish independence. The LibDems also got a shellacking by losing 47 seats and holding on to a mere eight, with party leader Nick Clegg resigning his post. Continue reading

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The Slow and Painful End of Communism: A Look Back, 25 Years Later

In Romania today, the people have gained democracy but they have yet to enjoy the benefits of what a system constructed on freedom can bring. As much as the country has changed, it is still struggling to pick up the economic, political and social remnants of communism in order that it may discard them once and for all.

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Russia, NATO and the New Ukrainian Defense Policy

Ukraine is a struggling country caught between Russia and the European Union. Historically, the country has been associated for a long time with Moscow and its culture is split between the Russian-dominated East and the European-dominated West.

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Posted in Defense and National Security, Europe, Foreign Policy, News and Analysis, Russia & Eurasia, Ukraine and Crimea Tagged , , , , , , , , |

Hungary Abroad

The Hungarian politician hopes that because Germany holds neither revisionist territorial designs nor any general historical animus against his nation, Hungary can serve as a useful and reliable geopolitical pawn for both Berlin and Moscow.

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Hungary at Home

According to his admirers, Prime Minister Orban’s third achievement is to restore and rehabilitate Hungary’s past, including its pre-war and war-time leader, Regent Admiral Miklos Horthy. It was Horthy who rushed troops and armored vehicles to the streets…

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2015: A Much Darker Crystal Ball

The Middle East will remain a boiling cauldron as both al-Qaeda and ISIS continue their wars for territory and subjugation in Syria and Iraq, while targeting Saudi Arabia. Both groups are casting their eyes on other parts of the Middle East with Jordan and, ultimately, Saudi Arabia coming in their cross-hairs.

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Civic Values and the Ministry of Internal Affairs in post-communist Romania

In an era when post-communist systems are struggling under the weight of economic failures, dictatorial tendencies, and Russian military threats, Romania’s Ministry of Internal Affairs has set a standard for cultivation of civic values.

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Russia’s Gift, Turkey’s Move

Moscow’s Vladimir Putin has resolved to send his energy to the European Union via Turkey. Ankara’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has accepted for his own geopolitical reasons and for the benefit of the neo-Ottomanist project, an attempt to re-create Turkic political, social, economic, and cultural dominion in its former imperial space, space some Western observers who have judged that the Islamic democracy has thus been merely assigned the inconsequential role of a transit area.

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Romanians’ take on the elections in Moldova: The front line of the EU-Russia struggle for supremacy

The recent Moldovan parliamentary elections have proven that the fight for power between Russia and the West is slowly but surely intensifying. While the Moldovan people’s votes seem to have inclined towards the pro-EU parties, the preference was only a minor one, with pro-Russian parties obtaining only slightly less votes than their opponents. “No party appears able to form a government, although, after a partial count, the three pro-EU parties do have a narrow lead over their pro-Moscow rivals,” Euro News reported on December 1, the day after the election.

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Elections in Moldova: A Country Torn Between Russia’s Threats and the Attraction of the West

Moldova is a small republic located in southeast Europe between Romania and Ukraine and is the poorest country on the continent. Historically, it is a former Romanian province annexed by the USSR in 1940 following the Ribbentrop-Molotov Pact and transformed into a Soviet Republic. It became independent in 1991 shortly after Ukraine declared its independence. Except for good agricultural land, Moldova lacks any other important resources. For Russia, however, Moldova and Georgia in the Caucasus region are the “gates of the empire” and thus geopolitically very important.

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A New Romanian President

On November 16, at the second round of elections, Romania elected the first truly non-communist president since the fall of Ceausescu in 1989. Klaus Iohannis is a 55 year-old man who has been the mayor of the Transylvanian city of Sibiu since 2000. The election was hotly disputed and many voters were skeptical. They thought that the former communists, still in power, would not allow his victory. There were poll irregularities, some abuses, and many obstacles against the Romanians who work abroad and who vote constantly against the communists. Yet, this time the people put their foot down and voted for a true democracy.

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Twenty-five years after the fall of the Berlin Wall: A realist perspective

In the West, the “fall” of the Berlin Wall in November 1989 functions as a powerful symbol of the implosion of communism and the end of the Cold War; in Germany it is celebrated as the watershed initiating German reunification. The wall – which the East German communist propaganda apparatus called the “Anti-Fascist Protection Rampart” – was built by the Soviet puppet regime of the “German Democratic Republic” in 1961, primarily to halt the mass exodus of East Germans to the West. The wall was thus a reminder of the real nature of the communist bloc, which was essentially one giant Gulag – stretching from the heart of Europe all the way to the Sea of Japan – and that Marxist-Leninist regimes could not remain in power without terror, coercion, and intimidating border fortifications to prevent the slaves from “voting with their feet” and escaping from the “Socialist Paradise.”

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Ukraine: What’s Next?

The parliament in Kyiv has just signed a bill granting autonomy to Lukhansk and Donetsk regions in the southeast of Ukraine as Russian President Vladimir Putin indicated was his wish. To sweeten the deal the Ukrainian legislature also voted to associate its nation with the European Union. This suggests a return to the traditional policy of subservience to Russia and cooperation with the West, a fence-straddling posture pursued by Kyiv since independence nearly 25 years ago. Putin got what he wanted, while the West remains rudderless under the Obama administration.

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The Ukrainian Crisis: Theory vs. History

John J. Mearsheimer’s geopolitical game theory tells him that the West has provoked Russia into invading Ukraine. Moscow behaves rationally, you see, and Washington should have understood that before it expanded NATO eastward and stepped on the Kremlin’s toes. It is logical and legitimate to defend one’s sphere of interest. Why provoke Moscow?

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Will NATO survive Russia’s aggressive challenge?

Viewed through the prism of Putin’s ultimate goal of collapsing NATO, the Kremlin had pursued the strategic goal of disintegrating NATO ever since its inception in 1949. Putin’s aggression against Ukraine is not only an attempt to re-subjugate a major ex-Soviet republic but is, simultaneously, also an experiment to test the West’s mettle.

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Putin’s Ukraine Policy is Dividing Europe

Western insistence that Kyiv choose between the EU and Russia, claims Putin, is responsible for breaking up the country. Yet despite all odds, on June 27, Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia signed association agreements with the EU.

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Ukrainian-Russian tensions: A major risk for European energy security

“The question of exports to Russia falls under [EU sanctions] stage three. About when to trigger stage three, if there is more destabilization we have agreed, also myself bilaterally with the U.S. President, that if [Ukrainian] elections take place we won’t trigger stage three. We see elections have taken place successfully…”

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Strategic value of Poland and the ‘Intermarium’

The White House’s erratic, confused, and rudderless foreign policy endangers America’s Polish friend, and, indeed, other NATO members, putting Warsaw and the rest, in particular in Central and Eastern Europe, also known as the Intermarium, lands between the Black and Baltic seas, on a collision course vis-à-vis Berlin and Moscow. This is plainly obvious in the context of the Ukrainian crisis.

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Humor as a Political Weapon

With the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe, commentators and scholars initially focused on broader themes such as the moves by President Ronald Reagan and the subsequent Soviet recognition of the regime’s inability to stand up in the face of a determined, effective Western adversary.

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Sikorski’s Vulgar Musings and Obama’s Failed Foreign Policy

Radek Sikorski’s party, the governing Civic Platform, attacked the Kaczyński twins (Lech and Jaroslaw, president and prime minister of Poland in 2005, respectively) and their Law and Justice Party for their staunchly pro-American policies and assertiveness vis-à-vis Moscow, Berlin, and Brussels…

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Is Putin ‘the’ Big Winner in EuroElections?

Both the French National Front and the UK Independence Party were big winners with 26% (25 seats) and 29% (24 seats) respectively. “The people have spoken loud and clear,” exclaimed Marine Le Pen. “They no longer want to be led by those outside our borders, by EU commissioners and technocrats who are unelected. They want to be protected from globalization and take back the reins of their destiny,”… Continue reading

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A Comparative Look at the European and American Right

This problem of mass immigration, coupled with dangerously low European birth rates, has produced a “demographic time bomb.” Europeans are being replaced instead by a growing Third World population with a much higher birth rate. Karsten Lorentzen describes this problem … Continue reading

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Ukraine: American Illusions and Russian Delusions

To further intimidate Kyiv, Vladimir Jirinovsky, chief of Russia’s communist party and a member of parliament, reminded Ukraine that it has inherited lands belonging to its neighbors, including Romanian lands. And he alluded to the possible further dismemberment of Ukraine. While annexing Crimea, President Putin assured Kyiv that Moscow would react severely if Romania dares to make a territorial claim.

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Putin’s Active Measures, Buchanan’s Grief

True enough the Moscovite leader has invoked God routinely. So did Stalin. In public the Georgian mass murderer played the God card whenever it suited him. Places of worship were forcibly closed. Most of them were destroyed. All religions were virtually banned and their followers were exterminated by the millions.

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Is it Time to Revisit Putin’s Role in the Smolensk Crash?

After the Smolensk plane crash, the speed with which the disaster became – not unlike Benghazi – relegated to “yesterday’s news” was stunning. An uninformed observer might conclude that what happened at Smolensk was but a minor incident…

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Does Big Nationalist Showing in French Local Elections Spell Big Putin Bloc in EU Parliament?

Last month, Russia invited representatives from the European far-right parties to Crimea as observers of the referendum on whether the predominantly Russian-speaking state wanted to leave Ukraine to become part of Russia.

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French Municipal Elections Could Shape Things To Come For Hollande, EU

Given the unpopularity of the Hollande government, the disarray of France’s center-right opposition, the rise of the National Front, and the European parliamentary elections in May, there are clearly going to be developments coming from the votes cast on March 23rd and the run-off…

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Revisiting the “Reset” and Russian Expansion into Crimea

Putin has every reason to think that the Ukraine crisis will pass as did the Georgia crisis. And President Xi Jinping in Beijing will be watching as well, calculating how far to push in Asia. What is being reset is the map of the world.

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American Cowboy Diplomacy is the Only Defense Against Commissar Diplomacy

Sarah Palin understood in 2008 what the school of foreign policy “realists” did not, that Georgia was not significant in isolation but as a prerequisite to the invasion of Ukraine and likewise Ukraine should be understood in the context of an imperial territorial ambition that stretches far beyond its borders.

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UK leaders sound alarm over persecution of Christians in the Middle East

The 2013 Christmas season brought with it the clarion call sounded by the Prince of Wales and a series of UK leaders over the dwindling population of Christians in the Middle East, where “Christianity was, literally, born.” Speaking at Clarence House in London, Prince Charles addressed religious leaders, following visits to both the Coptic Orthodox and the Syrian Orthodox Churches.

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Snowden Forever

This is not to cheer the defector but simply to point out that the phenomena undergirding the Edward Snowden case will continue to metastasize predictably, linger painfully, and haunt us into the foreseeable future. Yet, this awful affair affords us an opportunity to have a long, merciless look at the perpetrator, ourselves, and the damages wrought on the nation. Continue reading

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Vladimir Putin Asserts Russia’s Regional Economic Power

Something strange is happening in the world this fall of Anno Domini 2013. The United States seems politically deadlocked. Europe is struggling both politically and economically and is not really functioning as a union. The Middle East has just stopped short of a new war. And Russia under the old and new President Vladimir Putin is reasserting itself as an international power.

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What “Merkel 3.0″ Means to Germany, U.S., and Europe

Politicians and pundits from Berlin to Washington are still reeling over the landslide win of German Chancellor Angela Merkel a week ago Sunday. Observers wonder what a third term and a new cast in her ruling coalition in the Bundestag (parliament) means for the strong-willed lady known as “Iron Angie,” “Mother Europe.”

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Why German Vote This Month Matters

The irony about Germany’s national election September 22 is that there is far greater interest in the outcome in foreign capitals from Washington to Athens to Brussels than there is among voters in Berlin, Munich or anywhere in Germany. The reason for this “ho-hum” attitude among the German electorate about their election as well as the “can’t wait” attitude among the rest of the world is summarized in two words: Angela Merkel. Her CDU (right-of center) Party is leading comfortably in nearly all polls for Bundestag races (lower house of parliament) later this month.

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The Czech Soap Opera

A combination of corruption and old fashioned post-KGB active measures ushered in a serious government crisis in the Czech Republic. Whether engineered by the post-Communists or brought about by rightist hubris, or both, the crisis continues to fester and may lead to early elections.

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The new Russian periphery in Europe: Azerbaijan and U.S. policy

The new periphery of Russia in Europe consists of the Baltic republics (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania), Moldova, and the South Caucasus republics of Azerbaijan, Georgia and Armenia. Ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union this so-called “near abroad” has constituted a bone of contention between Russia and the West.

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The United States and Romania: Security Arrangements and Mutual Interests

STRATFOR is a professional electronic publication that deals with geopolitical issues and global intelligence. Its founder and chairman, George Friedman, is well-informed and aware of contemporary Eastern European affairs.

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The Eurasian Customs Union expands

The realization of Vladimir Putin’s “Eurasianist” agenda of reasserting Russian hegemony over the former Soviet Bloc has just scored a significant success. On May 31, the Central Asian post-Soviet republic of Kyrgyzstan joined the Eurasian Customs Union (ECU) — consisting of Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan—while Ukraine acquired observer status in the Kremlin-dominated body. This article will focus on the latter country.

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Russia’s aggressive war games threaten NATO borders

On April 22-24 the Russians and their Belarussian junior allies conducted war games right on the eastern border of Poland, which is also the eastern frontier of NATO. The successors of the Red Army—Russian airborne assault units and Belarussian special forces, to be more precise—rehearsed the scenario of a war with Poland on a military training ground in Brest, just across the river from the Polish-Belarussian border.

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Trouble in Prague

Memory is the most precious weapon to transmit our traditions, which includes the heritage of liberty. Hence, individuals, communities, and nations cultivate memories of triumphs and calamities to derive lessons from the past for today to march boldly into the future.

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John Kerry’s first foreign trip: Much ado about nothing

On March 6, Barack Obama’s new Secretary of State, John Kerry—who succeeded Hillary Clinton as a result of the fallout following the terrorist attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi last September 11 — has returned home after an eleven-day nine-nation grand tour. During his first trip abroad as head of the Department of State, he visited the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar.

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A former anti-communist dissident and the “clash of civilizations” in Poland

On November 23, 2012, in a grave miscarriage of justice, Polish parliamentarian and opposition politician, Antoni Macierewicz, was by a post-communist/left-liberal coalition in Poland’s lower chamber. What terrible offense did Mr. Macierewicz commit to warrant such punishment?

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German Chancellor Angela Merkel Visits Moldova

German Chancellor Angela Merkel is the most powerful woman in the world according to a Reuters report cited by Forbes magazine.

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Mitt Romney’s Visit to Poland

On July 30 – 31, former Massachusetts governor and presumptive Republican presidential nominee, Mitt Romney, visited Poland.

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Obama’s “Polish Death Camp” Remark

Just when Poles and Americans of Polish descent may have felt that President Barack Obama was incapable of offending and disappointing them anymore than he already has, the incumbent once again proved them wrong.

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Poland to Loan $8 Billion to the IMF to Rescue the Euro

On April 19, the director of Poland’s central bank (National Bank of Poland, or NBP), Marek Belka, announced that Poland will loan $8 billion (6.27 billion Euros) from the bank’s currency reserves to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to bail out the Eurozone.

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The Polish Presidency and the Future of the European Union

The Republic of Poland presided over the Council of the European Union from July 1 – December 31, 2011, after which it passed the torch to the Kingdom of Denmark.

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Poland’s EU Presidency

On 1 July 2011 the Republic of Poland assumed the Presidency of the European Union for the next six months. The institution is a rotating one, held previously by Viktor Orban’s Hungary.

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Obama’s Visit to Poland

President Barack Obama’s 24-hour visit to the Central European nation of Poland on May 27-28 was part of a four-country tour of Europe that commenced in Ireland and the United Kingdom, followed by France, where he attended the G8 summit at Deauville.

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The Lessons of Libya

Operating under a United Nations mandate, the U.S.-NATO intervention in the Libyan civil war is beginning to resemble the U.S.-NATO intervention in the Balkans during the 1990s, under President Bill Clinton.

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Obama Sells Out the Liberated Nations of Eastern Europe

The big story at the close of the week is Obama’s abandonment of the missile defense shield. To understand the implications of this, imagine if Walter Mondale had won in 1984 and had decided to abandon SDI aka Star Wars.

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Lech Walesa-Vaclav Havel: Leaders Of Central-Eastern Europe Lament Rise Of Revisionist Russia

With a changing of the guard occurring in the U.S. as well as in Central and Eastern Europe comes a growing sense of trepidation in Central and Eastern European capitals…

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European Energy Concerns: An Open Letter

A group of distinguished leaders from Central and Eastern Europe has written an Open Letter to President Barrack Obama describing the current political environment of their region and expressing concerns about a perceived loss of attention on the part of the United States.

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The U.S.-Georgia Strategic Charter

The U.S.-Georgia Charter on Strategic Partnership signed on January 9th, in Washington strengthens bilateral energy cooperation and will provide President Obama and his administration with a policy tool to continue the Bush administration’s policy towards Russia…

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